Lo Último

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Lo que viene

Recalcular el valor del violeta 

Las elecciones bonaerenses empujan a repensar las seis semanas que quedan para las nacionales. La encerrona de Frigerio y la apuesta a ganar o ganar. La estrategia que surge por estos días y la hipótesis del Gobierno sobre lo que viene. Breves referencias históricas para pensar el electorado.  

Rogelio Frigerio pudo verse, este domingo por la noche, ante el espejo que le devolvió la imagen más borrosa. La prueba de aliarse con La Libertad Avanza tuvo su primera experiencia en Chaco, con el gobernador Leandro Zdero, cuando se impuso en mayo en elecciones provinciales. Luego vino el episodio de Corrientes, donde el gobernador Gustavo Valdés estuvo a punto de firmar ese mismo acuerdo, pero finalmente lo rechazó porque lo que le pedía a cambio Karina Milei era inaceptable. Zdero y Valdés son radicales. 

La bola de ensayo que significa la elección bonaerense propone una reformulación de las expectativas. Javier Milei decidió nacionalizar la contienda. Y lo hizo en el peor escenario: movimientos poco alentadores en la economía y la revelación de presuntos hechos de corrupción. Letal para el electorado blando, que suele minimizar o ignorar las represiones semanales a los jubilados, el vaciamiento a un área que atiende a la discapacidad, o los bolsones de despidos que se conocen a diario. Con un paquete a Río de Janeiro clavado en 500 dólares con aéreo y hotel incluido parecería suficiente. Es lo que debe haber cotejado la consultora Viviana Isasi, una entusiasta difusora del último clavo al ataúd del peronismo. 

La alianza que cerró el Gobernador tiene las mismas características que la que debutó este domingo, pero las elecciones tienen similitudes con las de Chaco, porque los que se disputaron fueron cargos provinciales. 

La boleta en Entre Ríos es igual a la de este domingo en tierra bonaerense. Violeta. La estética devela la licuación de Juntos por el Cambio, la escudería que se dispuso a transitar la avenida del medio en 2023 y finalmente terminó siendo el árbitro. El 23 de octubre de ese año recobró un valor insoslayable una cláusula constitucional pensada por Raúl Alfonsín que perdurará por mucho tiempo: el ballotage. 

Frigerio y Milei tienen coincidencias en el plano económico y en las expectativas. Lo acaba de refrescar la mano derecha del jefe de Estado, Mauricio Colello. El Gobernador cree que el año que viene llegará el crédito y se activará la economía. Sólo tiene una duda: si la sociedad está dispuesta a esperar. A continuación una nota sobre lo que piensa el mandatario: 

La decisión de ganar o ganar en octubre atando la suerte al color violeta dejó a Frigerio en una encerrona que lo obliga a someterse al silencio. Su último tuit fue el saludo a Valdés por su triunfo en Corrientes, hace una semana. En esa contienda, sus socios entrerrianos, quedaron cuartos. Frigerio saludó  para no desentonar con sus pares que acababan de constituir un club del que pretende ser socio: Provincias Unidas. Dispuestos, también, a caminar por esa avenida del medio que nunca pudo convertirse en “ancha”. 

Hace más de una semana que se inició la campaña electoral, sin embargo el ministro Manuel Troncoso se jactó el sábado en la Feria del Libro de no estar en esas actividades, sino en la gestión. Esa declaración pudo haber surgido de la oficina de “Discursos”, que tiene a Daniela Brocco como la principal pluma. Seguramente de su caja de herramientas haya salido la consigna que emitió Colello: noticiar a los entrerrianos sobre la posibilidad de la vuelta del kirchnerismo. Para quienes leen un poco de política, el argumento suena oxidado, lo que no significa que no siga funcionando. Para el Gobierno, el triunfo del peronismo en Buenos Aires opera como PASO nacional. 

La historia en Entre Ríos le muestra a Frigerio que una derrota de medio término no ha sido letal como antesala para las elecciones provinciales siguientes. La historia, también, no muestra una tradición política grosera, como la que expresa el Presidente. Trabajo para Brocco si el candidato a senador de estirpe libertaria, Joaquín Benegas Lynch, pretende ser la voz cantante de la campaña. Su debut fue poco feliz cuando auspició privatizaciones de una empresa binacional como Salto Grande, y de Enersa, lo único estatal que lleva satisfacciones al Ministerio de Hacienda. 

En la elección general del 2023, en la comarca, ganó Sergio Massa, dejando en segundo y tercer lugar a quienes escalaban día a día el nivel de agresividad: Milei y Patricia Bullrich. Cuatro años antes se impuso Macri cuando el peronismo kirchnerizó la campaña. Sergio Urribarri solía vestirse de artiguista en los escenarios de CABA, cuando se codeaba con el kirchnerismo reciente al calor de la resolución 125, pero en la comarca invitaba a tomar unos mates a Alfredo De Angeli. No se registra un solo apoyo del entonces gobernador a la ley de matrimonio igualitario, resistida en movilizaciones callejeras convocadas por la Curia. Paraná tuvo la suya. Entre Ríos tiene una sociedad conservadora, que cada gobernante supo interpretar a su modo. 

El jefe de campaña de cara al 26 de octubre de la Alianza La Libertad Avanza es Gustavo Hein, quien no descarta la llegada de Milei. A esta altura no se sabe si sería conveniente o no. 

Fuente: Página Política
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